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...... Подтвержением его на предстоящей неделе будет служить закрытие дня в "+" и лоу выше предыдущего до того, как рынок придёт к отметке 1.3430.
00:46 *Положительное сальдо внешней торговли товарами Новой Зеландии в дек 523 млн новозел долл, прогноз 500 млн новозел долл
New Zealand--New Zealand's economic growth and inflation have proved stronger than the central bank expected over the past six weeks, but the exchange rate also overshot its forecasts and there are signs house price inflation may be starting to moderate, Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said Friday.His comments offer some additional insight into why he kept interest rates on hold Thursday at a record low 2.5% despite the strong economic backdrop.While he noted the terms-of-trade is at a 40-year high, business confidence is the strongest since 1993 and consumer confidence is at a seven-year peak, "the exchange rate remains a considerable headwind for the economy," Mr. Wheeler said in a speech to the Canterbury Employers' Chamber of Commerce in Christchurch.The "exchange rate remains close to historic highs on a TWI basis and in the top decile of historic experience against the major currencies, including the Australian dollar," he said.The central bank governor also reiterated that New Zealand house prices are overvalued and said the housing market "poses risks to financial stability," but noted there are some signs that new lending rules are easing the pressure.With interest rates at an all-time low, central bank has been wary of fueling a housing bubble. Recently, it imposed new curbs on mortgage lending to home buyers able to make only small down payments. As of Oct. 1, no more than 10% of banks' new mortgage lending can go to borrowers who put down less than 20% of a property's price as a deposit. It has previously said that interest rates will have to move higher if the new curbs don't have an impact.On Friday, Mr. Wheeler said there is limited data but "the information to date suggests that housing turnover and the rate of house price inflation may be easing."Regarding the global backdrop, Mr. Wheeler flagged some potential risks for New Zealand's current expansion. He noted that a "further slowdown in global growth remains possible" and said the areas of greatest risk lie in a potential faltering of momentum in the euro area and the rapid build-up of debt levels in China.While Mr. Wheeler left interest rates unchanged Thursday he did indicate that rate increases were on the horizon and Friday's speech solidified that message."Yesterday, we kept the OCR unchanged at 2.5% but signaled that inflation pressures are rising and that interest rates will need to return to more normal levels in order to keep inflation near the 2% target mid-point," he said.He also reiterated "the bank expects to begin this adjustment soon."
